Romney Leads in New Hampshire

CNN’s Political Ticker reports that Mitt Romney continues to do well in the states that truly matter:

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has jumped to the head of the pack of 2008 Republican presidential contenders in New Hampshire, according to a CNN/WMUR poll out Tuesday.

Romney shot past former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and Sen. John McCain of Arizona in the latest poll, conducted Wednesday through Monday by the University of New Hampshire. Former Tennessee senator and “Law and Order” star Fred Thompson runs fourth after taking his first steps toward a campaign, the survey found.

The results:
– 28% of those polled support Mitt Romney
– John McCain and Rudy Giuliani draw the support of 20% each
– 11% support Fred Thompson (who has yet to officially announce his candidacy)

The poll was, obviously, conducted “after last week’s CNN-WMUR-New Hampshire Union Leader debate in Manchester.” As CNN points out, Romney “trailed McCain and Giuliani by 11 percentage points in the last CNN/WMUR poll, conducted in late March and early April.”

Although this is good news for Romney, he and his supporters have to realize that they do not ‘own’ NH: 57% “of Granite State Republicans said they had […] no idea who they will support.” However, among this group too, the numbers are in Romney’s favor:

Among the top three, 32 percent found Romney was the most likeable candidate. Giuliani came in second with 28 percent, while McCain was third at 12 percent.

Partially that is:

But 31 percent of those polled said Giuliani had the best chance of beating the eventual Democratic nominee, compared to 25 percent for Romney and 14 percent for McCain.

When asked who the strongest leader of the leading trio is, 26% answered Giuliani, another 26% McCain, and 25% answered Mitt Romney. In other words: too close to call.

As a commenter at the PT points out, this poll also provides good news for Ron Paul, who trippled his support: he went from 1% to 3%…

As I have stated on a few occasions at my own blog, I would endorse Mitt Romney if I were American. I think that Mitt Romney is a great manager, a great leader and someone who knows what he is talking about. Above all, I like his approach to problem solving: whereas Bush operates on the basis of positive affirmation, Romney constantly challenges his own views / policies. This is what is called the “Bain Way” (which admittedly sounds a bit corny). When talking about a specific issue, he brings in experts who disagree passionately with each other, lets them debate for a couple of hours, weighs in himself and draws conclusions. He is also well known for his ability to question his own views by attacking it intellectually from all sides.

Of course, Romney is more of a social conservative than I am, but his record in Massachusetts shows that he is a social conservative who chooses to defend instead of attack. In other words, laws that are in place now are unlikely to be reversed by Romney.

Romney does have one problem, a relatively minor one, in NH: he is considered to be less “believable” than Giuliani and McCain.

Please don’t shoot me.

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7 Responses to Romney Leads in New Hampshire

  1. Richard says:

    People wake up!! It’s high time to take a stand and take our country back!

    Please fellow Americans I urge you to go out and support Ron Paul for president! He is out last hope!

  2. ironxl84 says:

    Argueably Ron Paul represents a perspective that is out-of-sync with the standard Republican “Party Line”.

    Thus he has crossover appeal with Democrats.

    He adheres to the principles of the US Constitution, has a Non-Interventionist stance, opposes the Unconstitutional Federal Reserve (and therefore the IRS), and displays a refreshing candor and integrity.

    When his ratings triple again to 9%, perhaps then the media will treat him as if he is no longer “second tier”.

    Meanwhile, they continue to virtually sweep him under the rug.

    I suspect that will change in the not too distant future – as there is a gargantuan grass roots effort underway on the internet to gain support for him.

    It will be interesting to watch.


  3. Michaelvdg says:

    Tom: I think quite highly of Ron Paul as well. If anything, he might actually influence people in the GOP. His impact, I presume, will be noticeable in long run, not in the short term

  4. Darrell Prows says:

    Do people need to get drunk to party? I guess it depends on who you ask.

    When we had the Olympics in my home town, and Mitt was called in to “save” them (a move made by Mormon Church leaders to, in part, give him exposure to run for future political office)our standard strict laws on alcohol were slated to be relaxed in no respect. I believe that when you invite someone into your home, you should extend hospitality. The local dominant majority believes “if you don’t like it here, leave” and expressed itself vociferously on the alcohol issue. In the end the Salt Lake mayor got a small concession for the public, and the olympians and groupies were given hands off treatment, but Romney was absent from the discussion.

    He didn’t impress me.

  5. Romney? Well none are appealing to me. I like that Ron paul has some serious hutzpa though.

  6. Pingback: University Update - Rudolph Giuliani - Romney Leads in New Hampshire

  7. Jim Withee says:

    Making bad decisions is always a way to get into trouble. Although many times we find in politics our choices aren’t what we would like to see.
    The approach taken by me and many others is to vote for the candidate who will do the least damage, as opposed to perhaps who will make everything good. If they can lead us down the road of progress, then fine, but one must try to keep the worst from happening, which will be more likely if a Republican gets in. Romney is conservative, and will likely follow most of the Republican priorities if elected. Self- serving politicians can always change their stripes to benefit themselves and those who are working with them.