Sure it’s early, but of all the candidates running who is as well known as Hillary Clinton? Answer: none. So here’s another poll that indicates that nominating Hillary might not be the best idea the Dems’ ever had.
“More than half of Americans say they wouldn’t consider voting for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton for president if she becomes the Democratic nominee, according to a new national poll made available to McClatchy Newspapers and NBC News.
The poll by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research found that 52 percent of Americans wouldn’t consider voting for Clinton, D-N.Y. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, a Republican, was second in the can’t-stand-’em category, with 46 percent saying they wouldn’t consider voting for him.
“Clinton has long been considered a politically polarizing figure who would be a tough sell to some voters, especially many men, but also Clinton-haters of both genders.
“Thursday’s survey provides a snapshot of the challenges she faces, according to Larry Harris, a Mason-Dixon principal. “Hillary’s carrying a lot of baggage,” he said. “She’s the only one that has a majority who say they can’t vote for her.”
“Clinton rang up high negatives across the board, with 60 percent of independents, 56 percent of men, 47 percent of women and 88 percent of Republicans saying they wouldn’t consider voting for her. Romney struggled most with women: 50.9 percent said they wouldn’t consider voting for him.
“It’s the flip-flop of Hillary,” Harris said of Romney. “One could suppose it’s the Mormon issue — we didn’t ask follow-up questions — but his religion is an issue.”
“On name recognition, Clinton also led the 2008 presidential pack in voter disapproval, with 42 percent saying they recognized her name and were unfavorable toward her, versus 39 percent favorable. That gave her a double-digit lead in that bad-news category over Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona and former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, a Democrat. They each had 28 percent unfavorable recognition.
“Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani had the highest favorable recognition at 43 percent, with Clinton close behind at 39 percent. Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., was third at 36 percent, followed by McCain at 33 percent and Edwards at 32 percent.
“McCain rang up the highest favorable rating among independent voters with 39.4 percent, followed by Giuliani with 37.3 percent. Edwards scored well with independents, too, with 31.1 percent favorable; Obama had 28 percent favorable.
“The Mason-Dixon survey was conducted June 23-25 with 625 likely general-election voters. It has an error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points.”
Sure the Republicans can always nominate a right-wing fire breather-but I’m not counting on it. Nominate a right-winger sure, but not a fire-breather a la Newt Gingrich or Barry Goldwater circa 1964. So a majority of voters won’t for Hillary under any circumstances-can you imagine what the Clintonites would say if this poll showed that a majority wouldn’t vote for Edwards or Obama (or anybody else) under any circumstances? They’d be pounding on it!
If 60% of independents won’t vote for Hillary then she’s dead in a general election. After all, Kerry won between 49% and 50% of the independent vote and still lost. Indeed, Kerry’s winning 50% of independents and 89% of Democrats was better than any Democratic nominee since the 1960s. Unfortunately Republicans turned out at very high numbers and gave Bush 93% of their votes-more than any Republican since Nixon in 1972-more than Reagan in 1984. Evn though the national 52%-48% rating is within the poll’s margin of error, the independent number is not. Unless Republicans stay home in droves there’s no way Hillary can win with number like those among independents!