The Dow Which Is Being Spoken Is Not The True Dow

July 25, 2007 12:37 pm
By

or, How The Financial Press Lies With Numbers

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just hit a “milestone” by passing 14,000. Great, right?

Not so fast (I have assumed that the Euro has remained basically stable. Not a very risky assumption. It has. The St. Louis Federal Reserve uses it as a baseline as well.)

[CHART]

US Dollar expressed as one Euro:

1.3785 (2007-07-16 exchange rate)

1 USD = 1 Euro January 1, 2000

multiplier = .725426

(1.0 divided by 1.3785)

2007 Dow Jones @ 14,000 expressed in Jan 1, 2000 dollars = 10,155.97

Dow Jones record high 11,750.28 (January 14, 2000)

Shortfall in 2000 dollars = 1594.31

Shortfall in 2007 dollars = 2197.76

To get BACK to Jan 14, 2000′s record high, the Dow Jones Average (Industrials)…

… will have to reach 16,197.76

Courage.

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2 Responses to The Dow Which Is Being Spoken Is Not The True Dow

  1. Pamela Leavey on July 25, 2007 1:22 pm at 1:22 pm

    Hart

    Is this like the Tao of the Dow?

  2. Hart Williams on July 25, 2007 6:40 pm at 6:40 pm

    Perhaps, but “the Tao of the Dow” title saeems to be owned by someone named “Scrooge McDuck.” The details aren’t entirely clear.

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