Tuesday is primary day in Pennsylvania. A new Pennsylvania poll from MSNBC/McClatchy/Pittsburgh Post-Gazette shows Hillary Clinton leading Obama 48-43% and Scott Helman notes in the Boston Globe that “In Pa., late deciders could lift Clinton.”
If the pattern of previous primaries and caucuses holds, the biggest procrastinators – those who make up their minds on Tuesday – will probably break for Senator Hillary Clinton. If they side with her again in Pennsylvania, it may help Clinton hold off Senator Barack Obama with a big-enough victory to save her candidacy, again.[…]
Through 27 contests where exit polling on late deciders is available, Clinton has won those voters in 20.
Michael Silverstein explains on The Moderate Voice today why he’ll “go with Hillary” in the Pennsylvania primary on Tuesday. Silverstein says in a well thought out post:
The reason is simple, and to my way of thinking obvious. She has a better personal grip on foreign policy than Obama, who I believe has her trumped in most other respects. The foreign policy hole that has been dug for this country is now so deep, so filled with horrible consequences if steps to rectify the damages Bush & Company hath wrought are not taken immediately, that a new American president can’t be left to learn on the job—the way our present decider had to do because of his own lack of experience in this realm, and indeed, the way John F. Kennedy had to do after he was elected President.
The Obama people say that their man will be surrounded by foreign affairs experts from the get-go. That these experts will certainly not be of the sort found in the offices of Cheney and Rumsfeld who Bush was obliged to fall back on because of inexperience. Granted. But ultimately, in our system, for better or worse, it is the President who makes the decisions and the advisors who then all fall into line and publicly agree.
Would I prefer that people of the calibre of Richardson and Biden, rather than either Clinton or Obama, were in this ultimate decider position? Oh yes. But of the latter two I have to give the edge to Clinton. She knows the world players longer and better. She also knows the preferences of our own foreign policy experts and is thus better able to accept the good nuances of their advice while ignoring the quirks that fill any expert’s professional resume.
The heat is on in Pennsylvania and on TalkLeft today, Big Tent Democrat notes Obama is engaging in “politics as usual” despite the rhetoric from his campaign and he asks: Is Obama Trying To Depress White Turnout In PA?