I don’t believe a 4 delegate victory, or some similar number, at the convention is a real victory for either Hillary Clinton or the Party. While I have been a die-hard Clinton supporter for just 6 months, I’ve come to believe she is by far the best qualified to lead this nation.
That said, we must always remember the Prime Directive: First, Get Elected.
I don’t think there’s much doubt that Hillary Clinton will receive a majority of the popular vote. I also think her campaign was out-foxed in the caucus states and she will not win the number of delegates for a convincing, unifying nomination. Political errors happen in every campaign, large and small, yet this mistake in the caucus states will likely cost her the nomination.
I believe, in my saddened heart and soul, that will we hear a soft concession speech immediately after the last primaries next Tuesday. [much more follows] I also believe that the Obama campaign may reveal previously pledged superdelegates prior to her speech. Since Barack Obama is the true passive-aggressive candidate, doing one thing while saying another without leaving finger-prints on the action, he may even claim victory prior to her statement. That would be a huge error in judgment and would fracture the beginnings of Party unity.
I’m convinced that Hillary Clinton will call, with great passion, for Party unity so that we may convulsively win November and begin the process of unwinding the disaster of the Bush Administration. She, perhaps more than anyone else, understands the need for having a Democratic in the WH at the right time.
So what’s next? Will she take the Vice Presidential role? I hope not. She is too strong and a VP can’t outshine the President.
I believe that she can return to the Senate with increased power and influence having found her own distinctive political and personal voice.
She is no longer Bill Clinton’s wife. Now Bill Clinton happens to be married to an influential, powerful United State Senator named Hillary Clinton. It’s a major change in personal and political dynamic and one that free’s Hillary Clinton to walk her own individual path.
There was an interesting comment this morning by Howard Brownstein:
Hillary Clinton began the race as the inheritor of a family franchise built by her husband, Bill Clinton. She ends it with her own distinctive political voice–tough, empathetic, tenacious. Assuming that she doesn’t mount a suicidal effort to wrench the nomination from Obama after he reaches a delegate majority, she will return to the Senate a much larger figure than when this marathon started.
A Senator of long standing with high visibility can have as great an impact on the Nation as a President. I have long wondered why high powered Senator’s would give up that unique position as one of the 100 most powerful people in the world for one where no decision or proposal will be accepted without modification by 535 different people.
Without a miracle in the delegate process, I hope Hillary Clinton stays in the Senate. She can play an effective role in unwinding the changes made by the Bush Administration while building her own power base to pass much of her campaign agenda.